Wednesday, November 19, 2014

PREFERENCE COUNT HINDMARSH WARD


With the release of the preference count (see below), some observations can be made. The very low voter turnout suggests that the contest was of interest to only a minority, even allowing for the de-motivating influence of the voluntary voting system at Local Government level.

First preferences decided the election of Councilor Alexandrides, who gained twice the F.P. votes of any of his opponents. This achievement cannot in my opinion be a result of just his ALP or Greek community support (there being a large Greek nursing home in the ward) but also points to him being a hard working representative.

Crucially, his second preference vote was distributed tightly between the eventual winner of the second position, Campbell, and the defeated councilor Craig Auricht, with only a slight leaning to Auricht. (56 Auricht, 34 Campbell, all other candidates 20 Alexandrides second preferences in total)

An informed source close to the ALP suggested before the election that Campbell was their prefered second candidate, so in the reasonably even distribution of Alexandrides' second preferences a case could be made again that Alexandrides gained a personal support independently of ALP influence.

Auricht, with 452 F.P. votes, made no headway against Campbell's 523 through all of the following allocations of preference votes. A solid, but isolated support base in the community could explain this. The failure of the remaining 'independent' candidates is the only other significant aspect of the preference distribution. The 'exhausted vote' tally rises alarmingly in these candidates' tallies – Belosovich, for example, when excluded, has an exhausted vote tally roughly equal to her preference distribution to remaining candidates.

The paradoxical lesson to be learnt might be that 'independent' candidates will need some form of organised community support to run effectively against the ALP candidates - rather than appeals to a non-political 'meritocracy of the elect' as seems to have been the case.


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